Predicting the result of the 2016 US Presidential election.
Election Swingometer let you calculate the result of the 2016 United States presidential election by inputting the swing (extent of the change in voter support compared to the 2012 presidential election) to each candidate. Deriving its calculations using the Butler swing method, Election Swingometer allowed you to see how each state would vote, and how many electors would be appointed to the Electoral College for each candidate.
The election took place on Tuesday, November 8 2016, and was the 58th United States presidential election. The candidate for the Democratic Party was former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. Fellow New Yorker and businessman Donald Trump was the Republican Party's candidate, whilst Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein were also on the ballot in enough states to theoretically win the Electoral College and become the 45th President of the United States.
With Election Swingometer, you can see how each state was predicted to vote when inputting a percentage swing to a candidate based on historical voting records.
Whether you are a Democrat or Republican (or something else altogether), Election Swingometer let you predict the result, and predict which candidate would be sworn in on the steps of the US Capitol Building at noon on Friday, January 20 2017.
We aren't sure whether many people predicted the vote correctly.
The swingometer is a graphics device that shows the effects of the swing from one party to another on British election results programmes. It is used to estimate the number of seats that will be won by different parties, given a particular national swing (in percentage points) in the vote towards or away from a given party, and assuming that that percentage change in the vote will apply in each constituency. The device was invented by Peter Milne, and later refined by David Butler and Robert McKenzie. (From Wikipedia.org)
This device has seldom been used in the United States - Election Swingometer put it into the hands of voters for the first time, letting them see the power of their vote and how any changes would affect the final result. Election Swingometer was a great success with thousands of downloads on election night - unfortunately, we couldn't quite ensure any electable candidate would be on the ballot...